Contact Dr Alice Johnston
Areas of expertise
- Agrifood Systems
- Carbon, Climate and Risk
- Computing, Simulation & Modelling
- Monitoring and Environmental Informatics
- Soil
- Soil Resources
Background
Alice Johnston is an ecologist and quantitative modeller specialising in the energy flows and biological mechanisms that underpin biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and climate feedbacks. Her research seeks to understand how organisms and ecosystems acquire, allocate, and transform energy, and how this regulates emergent behaviours across scales, from individuals to the biosphere.
Alice’s work spans fundamental ecological theory and applied sustainability challenges. She has examined how invertebrate populations respond to interacting stressors such as agricultural management, pesticides, and habitat fragmentation, and how ecosystem metabolism and greenhouse gas fluxes respond to global pressures including climate change, pollution and urbanisation.
Alice completed a BSc (Hons) in Environmental Science at Newcastle University, followed by a PhD at the University of Reading. Before joining Cranfield University as a Lecturer (now Senior Lecturer), she worked as an ecological modeller in industry and held a NERC Independent Research Fellowship.
Current activities
Dr Johnston’s research focuses on ecosystem energetics through an understanding of how energy flows through organisms, populations, and ecosystems, and how these flows are disrupted by multiple, interacting environmental stressors. She combines mechanistic models, global Earth observation datasets, and in-situ flux measurements to reveal the processes driving emergent patterns in biodiversity, ecosystem metabolism, and climate regulation.
Her work integrates across biological and spatial scales:
- Individuals: Mechanistic individual-based models (IBMs) exploring how physiology, behaviour and adaptation shape population responses to novel environmental change.
- Populations & Communities: Understanding how energy constraints and multi-stressor interactions (e.g. pesticides and climate extremes) drive population stability, community structure and ecosystem service delivery.
- Ecosystems: Leveraging satellite observations, global eddy-covariance networks and statistical/AI approaches to quantify how stressors such as artificial light at night, air pollution, and land-use change alter ecosystem energy exchange.
A core theme in her work is linking mechanistic realism with tractable, scalable modelling by identifying where complex biological detail is essential and where simpler principles can reliably predict ecosystem behaviour. Her research informs nature-positive land management, climate-smart agriculture and environmental policy, and contributes to the development of next-generation ecological forecasting tools.
Publications
Articles In Journals
- Gold HM, Hannam JA, Potts SG, Brittain C, Galic N, .... (2026). Evaluating biological realism in ecological modelling: application of a novel framework to compare mechanistic and process-based earthworm and wild pollinator population models. Ecological Modelling, 512
- Girkin NT, Cooper HV, Johnston AS, Ledger M, Niamba GRM, .... (2025). The temperature dependence of greenhouse gas production from Central African savannah soils. Geoderma Regional, 40
- Johnston ASA. (2025). Warmer ecosystems save their breath. Nature Climate Change, 15(8)
- Walthall C, Girkin NT, Kevei Z & Johnston ASA. (2025). A global synthesis of genotypic variation in crop greenhouse gas emissions under variable nitrogen fertilisation. Frontiers in Agronomy, 7
- Li Z, Girkin NT, Hannam JA & Johnston ASA. (2025). Soil fauna community body size structure mediates litter loss responses to temperature and plant litter treatments in ecological microcosms. Soil Organisms, ahead-of-print(ahead-of-print)
- Johnston ASA, Kim J & Harris JA. (2025). Widespread influence of artificial light at night on ecosystem metabolism. Nature Climate Change, 15(12)
- Kim J, Khouakhi A, Corstanje R & Johnston ASA. (2024). Greater local cooling effects of trees across globally distributed urban green spaces. Science of The Total Environment, Science of The Total Environment
- Rust W, Sotkewicz M, Li Z, Mercer TG & Johnson AS. (2024). Soil–plant–pollinator relationships in urban grass and meadow habitats: competing benefits and demands of tall flowering plants on soil and pollinator diversity. Diversity, 16(6)
- Johnston ASA. (2024). Predicting emergent animal biodiversity patterns across multiple scales. Global Change Biology, 30(7)
- Johnston ASA, Meade A, Ardö J, Arriga N, Black A, .... (2021). Temperature thresholds of ecosystem respiration at a global scale. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5(4)
- Grimm V, Johnston ASA, Thulke H-H, Forbes VE & Thorbek P. (2020). Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support. Nature Communications, 11(1)
- Mintram KS, Maynard SK, Brown AR, Boyd R, Johnston ASA, .... (2020). Applying a mechanistic model to predict interacting effects of chemical exposure and food availability on fish populations. Aquatic Toxicology, 224
- Johnston ASA & Sibly RM. (2020). Multiple environmental controls explain global patterns in soil animal communities. Oecologia, 192(4)
- Forbes VE, Agatz A, Ashauer R, Butt KR, Capowiez Y, .... (2020). Mechanistic Effect Modeling of Earthworms in the Context of Pesticide Risk Assessment: Synthesis of the FORESEE Workshop. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 17(2)
- Johnston ASA, Boyd RJ, Watson JW, Paul A, Evans LC, .... (2019). Predicting population responses to environmental change from individual-level mechanisms: towards a standardized mechanistic approach. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 286(1913)
- Johnston ASA. (2019). Land management modulates the environmental controls on global earthworm communities. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28(12)
- Johnston ASA & Sibly RM. (2018). The influence of soil communities on the temperature sensitivity of soil respiration. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2(10)
- Johnston ASA, Sibly RM & Thorbek P. (2018). Forecasting tillage and soil warming effects on earthworm populations. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(3)
- van der Vaart E, Johnston ASA & Sibly RM. (2016). Predicting how many animals will be where: How to build, calibrate and evaluate individual-based models. Ecological Modelling, 326
- Johnston ASA, Sibly RM, Hodson ME, Alvarez T & Thorbek P. (2015). Effects of agricultural management practices on earthworm populations and crop yield: validation and application of a mechanistic modelling approach. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52(5)
- van der Vaart E, Beaumont MA, Johnston ASA & Sibly RM. (2015). Calibration and evaluation of individual-based models using Approximate Bayesian Computation. Ecological Modelling, 312
- Reed M, Alvarez T, Chelinho S, Forbes V, Johnston A, .... (2015). A risk assessment example for soil invertebrates using spatially explicit agent-based models. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 12(1)
- Johnston ASA, Holmstrup M, Hodson ME, Thorbek P, Alvarez T, .... (2014). Earthworm distribution and abundance predicted by a process-based model. Applied Soil Ecology, 84
- Johnston ASA, Hodson ME, Thorbek P, Alvarez T & Sibly RM. (2014). An energy budget agent-based model of earthworm populations and its application to study the effects of pesticides. Ecological Modelling, 280
- Grimm V, Augusiak J, Focks A, Frank BM, Gabsi F, .... (2014). Towards better modelling and decision support: Documenting model development, testing, and analysis using TRACE. Ecological Modelling, 280
- Sibly RM, Grimm V, Martin BT, Johnston ASA, Kułakowska K, .... (2013). Representing the acquisition and use of energy by individuals in agent‐based models of animal populations. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4(2)
- Grimm V, Railsback SF, Vincenot CE, Berger U, Gallagher C, .... The ODD Protocol for Describing Agent-Based and Other Simulation Models: A Second Update to Improve Clarity, Replication, and Structural Realism. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 23(2)